Floor Multiplier: Valuing Low Floor vs High Floor
A: Originally posted on Dec 15th, 2010 after requests on this topic - I got inspiration for this post from Paul Zweben of Elliman who publishes HungryDomaine.com. When I do a comps analysis for a buyer client I do four main types of adjustments to come up with some idea of a fair market trading range for the target property: a floor adjustment, a size adjustment, a time adjustment, and a renovation adjustment. For now, lets discuss the floor adjustment and what I like to call the Floor Multiplier.
Before I began I want to start out by saying that any type of floor adjustment is an imperfect science. There is no hard and fast rule and since the market doesn't exist in a vacuum, its impossible to predict how any one buyer will ultimately value the light/view/exposure differences between the TARGET APT and COMP-A, or COMP-B.
With that said, we need to try right! Most new developments during the boom got in the habit of adding approximately $15,000 - $25,000 per floor in premiums for the luxuries of more sunlight and nicer views that come with higher floor units. For existing resale its a bit trickier so lets delve into this.
There are two main elements in figuring out what kind of floor multiplier you should use when doing a comps analysis to what hopefully is a same-line sale (same footprint, different floor): TYPE OF CHANGE IN VIEW and AMOUNT OF GAP IN FLOORS.
TYPE OF CHANGE IN VIEW: When comparing two in-building same line comparable units we need to determine the level of change in the view quality. In other words, is there a drastic difference in the view or is there no difference in view? Lets take two hypothetical examples to explain this point:
a) Drastic Change in View Quality --> The difference between Unit 3A and Unit 25A, that share the same footprint and exposures. Unit 3A is on a low floor and does not clear the opposing buildings, limiting both the natural sunlight and the quality of the view. Unit 25A completely clears all nearby buildings and offers full city views and is flooded in sunlight.
b) No Change in View Quality --> The difference between Unit 22A and Unit 25A, that share the same footprint and exposures. While there is a 3 floor difference, both units offer the same quality of view and same level of natural sunlight.
Make sense? Ok, lets move on to the next item to take into account.
AMOUNT OF GAP IN FLOORS: We have to be cognizant in the gap in floors between the target apartment and the comp. For larger gaps, we need to lower the floor multiplier or risk over-estimating the premium that a higher floor unit can absorb on the open market.
a) Small Gap in Floors -->: Lets call it the difference between Unit 3A and Unit 6A. In this scenarios we should maintain the floor multiplier or in some cases, raise it a bit if there is a drastic change in view. Think about it, if there is a 4 story building opposing these two units that limits Unit 3A but does not affect Unit 6A, we should properly add that in even though there is only a 3 floor difference.
b) Big Gap in Floors -->: Lets call it the difference between Unit 3A and Unit 25A, a 22 floor difference. Now if we stick to the $20,000 or so a floor premium in this scenario, then the 25th floor would be valued about $440,000 more - clearly that is unrealistic and something that cannot be absorbed in the open market. So, if there is a big gap we should lower the per floor premium a bit so as not to over-estimate the premium that is likely in the open market.
Hopefully your still with me and keep in mind that this is how I view comps analysis for my buyer clients - over time you start to get a natural feel for it.
If I were to plot all these out into a table, it would look something like this:
DRASTIC CHANGE IN VIEW/SUNLIGHT
BIG GAP: Use $7,500 to $12,500 multiplier per floor
SMALL GAP: Use $20,000 to $25,000 multiplier per floor
NO/MINOR CHANGE IN VIEW/SUNLIGHT
BIG GAP: Use $5,000 to $7,500 multiplier per floor
SMALL GAP: Use $10,000 to $15,000 multiplier per floor
An example from above would value Unit 25A about $30,000 more than Unit 22A where there is virtually no change in view. Also, we would value Unit 25A about $165,000 more than unit 3A where there is a drastic difference in view and amount of natural sunlight.
I find that the most coveted properties (think Madison/5th Avenue types) will value higher floor units at a even higher multiplier than what I show here. For example, in a coop on 78th and Madison where a high floor unit gets a park view but a lower floor unit doesn't, I would go as far as using a $30,000 to $45,000 per floor multiplier to properly value the unit with park views. Again the market is a living thing and doesn't exist in a vacuum. In the end any unit is only worth what someone is both willing and able to pay for it. That leaves us brokers, buyers and sellers constantly wondering where that ultimate bid will eventually come in to value the property. In the meantime, this is the next best guess that I feel confident enough in to publish here on UrbanDigs!



Posted by longtime_reader
Wed Dec 15th, 2010 09:00 AM
Excellent and very insightful article Noah. We have been looking at two bedroom apartments in the upper east and recently had a discussion on this very topic. This was the discussion
http://streeteasy.com/nyc/building/200-east-90-street-new_york
Take a look at 25f and 20f sales where both apartments are detailed as being renovated. The higher floor apartment sold for $54,500 more and it seems both have similar views. So some math
54,500 divided by 5 floors = $10,800 a floor in premium, which is just above the range that you put in this article.
Great work!
Posted by urbandigs
Wed Dec 15th, 2010 09:14 AM
ltreader - thx! This does sound like a great example, with sales only 6 weeks apart its likely the contracts were signed close enough together to not warrant that much of a time adjustment. So, good find.
Thx and good luck with the search
Posted by subscriber-broker
Wed Dec 15th, 2010 09:42 AM
Noah, 40 contracts signed already this morning? Thats what your real time ticker shows?
Posted by Paul Zweben
Wed Dec 15th, 2010 10:03 AM
Noah-
I think you hit the nail on the head with this quote:
"There is no hard and fast rule and since the market doesn't exist in a vacuum, its impossible to predict how any one buyer will ultimately value the light/view/exposure differences between the TARGET APT and COMP-A, or COMP-B. "
The bottom line is that the higher the floor, more light and more views in the exact same line with the exact same square footage and layout, the higher floor will always fetch more money than the lower floors.
Happy Holidays!
Paul Zweben
aka- Hungrydomaine
Posted by urbandigs
Wed Dec 15th, 2010 10:07 AM
subscriber - There was a delay yesterday in the rolex files until about 430pm. So we missed out on the first 3-4 updates. Therefore, this mornings first update basically "caught up" and captured all notable changes that were missed. These things happen every once in a while when you are dealing with processing millions of units of data.
Posted by Carmen
Wed Dec 15th, 2010 10:45 AM
The one "trick" I use in estimating floor premiums is by using Google Maps. Google Maps show street view which is very helpful in determining whether views of certain apartments are blocked or not (of course, not so helpful for very tall high-rises) - I just count the number of floors and then look at the building's surroundings.
Posted by urbandigs
Wed Dec 15th, 2010 12:58 PM
very interesting..thx Carmen!!
Posted by Teresa
Thu Dec 16th, 2010 01:10 PM
You also should consider the higher maintenance costs. While I agree there is a premium for higher floors, can you argue that the premium is offset by higher maintenance? I saw one building with 2 apts on the same line. The 2nd floor apt is about 1,000 lower in monthly charges than the 16th floor apt.
Posted by urbandigs
Thu Dec 16th, 2010 03:06 PM
great question Teresa..hmm, that seems like an extreme difference but certainly a possible one. Yes in this case I would lower the per floor multiplier a bit to account for the higher monthlies.
Great catch! Thanks for pointing out
Posted by kurtNYC
Fri Jan 7th, 2011 10:35 AM
this article is great and exactly what I was looking for, except I'm not sure it scales for lower priced units. I have this exact situation, comp at $450k on floor 5 with southern but obstructed views, same line floor 9 with views over the cross street. but when you start with even 7k per floor that leads to a 28k bump or $478k which is over market I think. maybe a ratio or metric would be better than a dollar amount?
Posted by UrbanFollower
Tue Nov 15th, 2011 08:55 PM
I have the same thoughts as kurtNYC. Have you any thoughts on a percentage, as opposed to pure monetary calculations, for buildings that are in a lower price point? It doesn't seem to scale down for lower-priced apts. (Yes, I know there's no hard-and-fast rule, just asking)
Posted by urbandigs
Wed Nov 16th, 2011 09:19 AM
Kurt & UrbanFoll - Hmm, you raise great points about scalability for price tiers. Id have to work on the math for any ratios and right now Im full speed in development of our upcoming comps system, which in our opinion will be everything. Id probably want to see if we can compile data to quantify exactly how floor differences for high confident comps fare in different price points. Perhaps that data, if its good enough to analyze (not sure yet), might give us a starting point for taking a % approach for floor differences.
Thanks for raising and I assure you I will add this to my own to do list as we work on the data behind the new comps system
Posted by UrbanFollower
Wed Nov 16th, 2011 06:23 PM
Thanks, Noah!